Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO


	Municipal Limeño		Zacatecoluca

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.95	6.7
	1.4	4.17	8.36
	1.39	4.5	7.75	Watch
	1.4	3.75	7.5
	1.37	3.96	8.4	Watch
	1.37	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.69)	4.06 ↑ (3.35)	7.7 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Limeño
65.6%

Draw
22.5%

Zacatecoluca
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

25.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Municipal Limeño's performance.

Zacatecoluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zacatecoluca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Municipal Limeño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zacatecoluca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Municipal Limeño - Zacatecoluca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Ferman J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, Molina O. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Recent performances by Municipal Limeño have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zacatecoluca has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zacatecoluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Municipal Limeño is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Municipal Limeño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Municipal Limeno	14	5	2	7	19:19	0	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Limeño
El Salvador Primera Division
14.02.26	Municipal Limeño - Fuerte San Francisco	5:0 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
11.02.26	Cruzeiro - Municipal Limeño	1:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
08.02.26	Águila - Municipal Limeño	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Municipal Limeño - CD FAS	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Hércules - Municipal Limeño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLTT
- Zacatecoluca FC
El Salvador Primera Division
15.02.26	Zacatecoluca - Águila	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	CD FAS - Zacatecoluca	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Zacatecoluca - Hércules	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Isidro Metapán - Zacatecoluca	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Zacatecoluca - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
01.11.25	Zacatecoluca - Municipal Limeño	0:1
31.08.25	Municipal Limeño - Zacatecoluca	1:0

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