The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mura 44.7%
Draw 28.3%
Aluminij Kidricevo 27%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.2%
27.5%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
26.4%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mura than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
52. Dajcar M. (G) 6. Jevsenak F. 7. Kasalo N. 24. Kitin L. 88. Korosec A. 10. Kouter N. (C) 30. Kurtovic K. 5. Matic M. 21. Petrovic Z. 26. Proleta B. 2. Sana F.
31. Raduha F. (G) 5. Boben M. 14. Jagic T. (C) 44. Petrisko P. 10. Ramsak R. 6. Simunic D. 80. Sorensen H. 45. Susso B. 32. Tezak V. 13. Vrbanec M. 3. Zajsek D.
Substitutes
9. Ascic M. 8. Bobicanec L. 47. Butic S. 99. Caks R. 33. Fermisek Z. (G) . Jelic I. 23. Kovacic J. 40. Oroian D. 49. Pfeifer P. 20. Seckar S. 17. Trdin K. 3. Zeljkovic A.
25. Bajraj M. 27. Blazic M. 9. Bloudek A. 23. Kramberger E. 11. Mladenovic M. 24. Modric T. 1. Mrezar A. (G) . Osuji B. 18. Rogina S. 34. Schaubach R. 66. Tomazic L. (G)
Coaches
Morec M.
Arsic J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Ramsak R. ⚽,
14', Kurtovic K. 🟨,
24', Zajsek D. 🟨,
32', Kitin L. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Simunic D. ⚽, Susso B. (A),
41', Petrovic Z. 🟨,
43', 0 - 3, Petrisko P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Kitin L. ↓, Jelic I. ↑,
46', Sana F. ↓, Caks R. ↑,
51', Kouter N. 🟨,
53', 0 - 4, Tezak V. ⚽,
56', Petrovic Z. ↓, Oroian D. ↑,
59', Petrisko P. ↓, Mladenovic M. ↑,
59', Ramsak R. ↓, Osuji B. ↑,
63', Kasalo N. ↓, Bobicanec L. ↑,
63', 1 - 4, Proleta B. ⚽,
67', Zajsek D. ↓, Rogina S. ↑,
77', Tezak V. 🟨,
77', Jevsenak F. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
83', Susso B. ↓, Bajraj M. ↑,
84', Vrbanec M. ↓, Kramberger E. ↑,
86', 1 - 5, Osuji B. ⚽,
89', 1 - 6, Mladenovic M. ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 7)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mura won 1.
Mura is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aluminij has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Aluminij may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Aluminij has had a series of home games.
Mura will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mura won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Mura won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Aluminij
12
3
4
5
16:13
3
13
8
Mura
12
2
5
5
13:24
-11
11
Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now
Mura: 0.34% Aluminij: 0.34%
Last Results with these Odds
Mura - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.15%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.