Match Info

Prva liga - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Mestni stadion Fazanerija (Murska Sobota)

Referee: Antic M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Mura		Celje

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.60	3.60	1.66
	4.10	3.50	1.68	Watch
	4.97	3.98	1.67
	4.57	3.87	1.71	Watch
	4.90	3.90	1.64
	4.95	3.70	1.58	Watch
	4.40	3.70	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (4)	3.75 ↓ (3.87)	1.66 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mura
19.9%

Draw
24.6%

Celje
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

24.1%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

23.5%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mura than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Mura - Celje Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mura (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Dajcar M. (G) 8. Bobicanec L. 18. Dimitrov B. 5. Jelic I. 88. Korosec A. 10. Kouter N. 30. Kurtovic K. 56. Matic M. 40. Oroian D. 26. Proleta B. 3. Zeljkovic A.	1. Leban Z. (G) 11. Avdyli M. 44. Bejger L. 91. Dukuly Y. 77. Ivansek M. 47. Kucys A. 8. Kvesic M. 10. Seslar S. 2. Sirvys P. 6. Tutyskinas A. 19. Zabukovnik M.
Substitutes
81. Antonic N. (G) 9. Ascic M. 99. Caks R. 33. Fermisek Z. (G) 7. Kasalo N. 24. Kitin L. 23. Kovacic J. 21. Petrovic Z. 49. Pfeifer P. 2. Sana F. 20. Seckar S. 17. Trdin K.	27. Calusic I. 13. Daniel P. 20. Dionkou A. 23. Frelih Z. (G) 4. Hrka D. 17. Kotnik A. 33. Koutris L. 32. Letonja T. 94. Pozeg R. 14. Ticic L. 3. Vuklisevic D.
Coaches
Morec M.	Zeljkovic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Kouter N. 🟨,
16', Zabukovnik M. 🟨,
18', Jelic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dimitrov B. ↓, Kasalo N. ↑,
46', Ivansek M. ↓, Ticic L. ↑,
53', Bobicanec L. 🟨,
65', Kucys A. ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
66', Korosec A. 🟨,
71', Bobicanec L. ↓, Sana F. ↑,
76', Kvesic M. ↓, Pozeg R. ↑,
76', Dukuly Y. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
77', Kurtovic K. ↓, Caks R. ↑,
82', Oroian D. ↓, Kovacic J. ↑,
82', Kouter N. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
89', Seslar S. ↓, Letonja T. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 8th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mura won 1.

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Mura could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Celje has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Celje is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mura has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:46 (averaging 1.3:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mura against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1.1:1.4 per game).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Celje: 19.76% Mura: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Celje	9	3	3	3	11:11	0	12
9	Mura	10	2	3	5	10:21	-11	9

Last Results with these Odds

Mura - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 23.36%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.09.26	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:6 ✺
06.09.26	Maribor - Mura	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	NK Bravo - Mura	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Mura - Koper	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Mura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTLLW
- NK Celje
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Celje	2:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
12.09.26	NK Bravo - Celje	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Celje - Koper	0:1 ✺
02.09.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Celje	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.07.26	Celje - Mura	2:2
19.04.26	Mura - Celje	0:2
14.02.26	Celje - Mura	5:1
26.10.25	Mura - Celje	2:1
10.08.25	Celje - Mura	3:0
13.04.25	Celje - Mura	2:1
16.02.25	Mura - Celje	0:0

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