Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Muranga Seal		Sofapaka

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.15	2.48
	2.65	3.25	2.35
	2.86	3.10	2.40	Watch
	2.68	3.15	2.39
	2.55	3.05	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.5)	3.14 ↑ (3)	2.47 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muranga Seal
34.2%

Draw
29%

Sofapaka
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Muranga Seal - Sofapaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Muranga will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Sofapaka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sofapaka (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sofapaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Simiyu B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Muranga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Muranga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
04.10.25	Bandari - Muranga Seal	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	APS Bomet - Muranga Seal	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Muranga Seal - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
29.06.25	Muranga Seal - Mara Sugar	1:0 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
22.06.25	Muranga Seal - Talanta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW
- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
03.10.25	Sofapaka - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	AFC Leopards - Sofapaka	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Posta Rangers - Sofapaka	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Sofapaka - Tusker	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
14.05.25	Muranga Seal - Sofapaka	2:0
28.11.24	Sofapaka - Muranga Seal	0:1
09.03.24	Sofapaka - Muranga Seal	1:2

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