Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Sofapaka		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.82	2.08
	3.7	2.88	2.04
	3.59	2.95	2.16
	3.45	3.05	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.56)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	2.11 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofapaka
25.5%

Draw
31.2%

Gor Mahia
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

31.7%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Sofapaka - Gor Mahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 0.

Gor Mahia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gor Mahia - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.52%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
20.09.25	AFC Leopards - Sofapaka	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Posta Rangers - Sofapaka	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Sofapaka - Tusker	7:1 ✺
14.05.25	Muranga Seal - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWLT
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
21.09.25	Gor Mahia - Bidco United	0:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
29.06.25	Gor Mahia - Nairobi United	1:2 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
15.06.25	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	2:3 ✺
02.06.25	Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Muranga Seal - Gor Mahia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
19.04.25	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	1:1
22.01.25	Gor Mahia - Sofapaka	2:0
16.06.24	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	0:1
26.08.23	Gor Mahia - Sofapaka	1:1
05.04.23	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	0:0
18.01.23	Gor Mahia - Sofapaka	0:0
09.03.22	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	1:1

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