Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 7

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Murata		Domagnano

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.88
	3.28	3.12	2.14	Watch
	3.25	3.18	2.1
	3.25	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.28)	3.16 ↑ (3.12)	2.32 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murata
30.9%

Draw
29.2%

Domagnano
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.3%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murata than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
11', 0 - 1, Bonetti M. ⚽, Buda G. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Buda G. ⚽,
30', 0 - 3, Santi S. (Pen),
40', 0 - 4, Santi S. ⚽, Bonetti M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 5, Bonetti M. ⚽,
50', Santi S. 🟥,
56', 0 - 6, Sopranzi P. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murata won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Domagnano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Murata won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Murata won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Murata
San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.25	Faetano - Murata	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.10.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Murata	1:5 ✺
05.10.25	Murata - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Murata - Folgore	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	La Fiorita - Murata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWTLL
- FC Domagnano
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	Domagnano - Tre Penne	2:2 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
17.10.25	Domagnano - Juvenes-Dogana	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Domagnano - Tre Fiori	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Fiorentino - Domagnano	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Cosmos - Domagnano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.09.24	Murata - Domagnano	3:3
27.01.24	Domagnano - Murata	0:1
San Marino Coppa Titano
25.10.23	Domagnano - Murata	2:0
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.10.23	Murata - Domagnano	1:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
28.09.23	Murata - Domagnano	0:0
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
23.04.23	Murata - Domagnano	5:1
15.01.23	Domagnano - Murata	2:2

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