Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Virtus		Murata

	1	X	2
	1.02	11	40
	1.01	12.23	25	Watch
	1.04	13	46
	1.04	17	41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↑ (1.02)	13.31 ↑ (12.5)	38 ↑ (26)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus
90.6%

Draw
7%

Murata
2.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.2%

7.3%

3.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Virtus - Murata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Ciacci E. ⚽, Buonocunto I. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Ciacci E. ⚽, Piscitella G. (A),
30', 3 - 0, Buonocunto I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 3 - 1, Labas J. ⚽, Uva L. (A),
90+2', 4 - 1, Zenoni M. ⚽, Scappini S. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus won 5.

Recent performances by Virtus have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Murata is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Virtus is the clear favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Virtus won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:9. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Virtus	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
12	Murata	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Virtus
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.04.26	Tre Penne - Virtus	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Virtus - Domagnano	3:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
18.03.26	Tre Fiori - Virtus	1:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
14.03.26	Tre Fiori - Virtus	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Virtus - Juvenes-Dogana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLLW
- SS Murata
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.04.26	Murata - Tre Fiori	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Pennarossa - Murata	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Murata - Tre Penne	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	San Giovanni - Murata	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Murata - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
13.12.25	Murata - Virtus	0:2
23.02.25	Murata - Virtus	0:1
13.03.24	Murata - Virtus	0:1
02.12.23	Virtus - Murata	2:0
19.03.23	Virtus - Murata	5:0
27.11.22	Murata - Virtus	1:2
21.04.22	Virtus - Murata	1:0

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