Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Murchante		Cortes

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.4	3.05	1.97
	3.45	3.12	1.99
	3.64	3	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.34)	3.07 ↑ (2.81)	2 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murchante
25.9%

Draw
29.3%

Cortes
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

30.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

23.2%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murchante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cortes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murchante than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murchante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cortes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Murchante has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cortes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murchante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cortes will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Murchante won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Murchante won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murchante FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
26.02.22	Huarte - Murchante	6:2 ✺
20.02.22	Murchante - Txantrea	0:2 ✺
12.02.22	Subiza - Murchante	3:1 ✺
09.02.22	Gares - Murchante	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Murchante - Cantolagua	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
26.02.22	Cortes - Egüés	1:2 ✺
19.02.22	Cortes - Huarte	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Txantrea - Cortes	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Cortes - Subiza	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Cantolagua - Cortes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
01.03.20	Murchante - Cortes	0:0

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