Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Murense		Collerense

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Murense
34%

Draw
29.6%

Collerense
36.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

21.1%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Murense's performance.

Collerense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Collerense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murense than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (+21.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Collerense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Murense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Collerense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Collerense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Murense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
24.10.21	Portmany - Murense	3:0 ✺
17.10.21	Murense - Constancia	2:0 ✺
12.10.21	Inter Ibiza - Murense	2:1 ✺
09.10.21	Murense - Campos	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Murense - Son Verí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWLWT
- UD Collerense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
23.10.21	Collerense - Platges de Calvià	4:2 ✺
17.10.21	Sant Rafel - Collerense	2:0 ✺
12.10.21	Collerense - Rotlet Molinar	1:0 ✺
09.10.21	PE Sant Jordi - Collerense	0:1 ✺
06.10.21	Collerense - Sóller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLWWW

Murense - Collerense