Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Murense		Llosetense

	1	X	2
	4	3	1.85
	3.6	3.1	1.83
	3.8	3.1	1.84
	3.81	3.12	1.84
	4.05	3.2	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.18)	3.1 ↑ (2.81)	1.85 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murense
23.1%

Draw
28.7%

Llosetense
48.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.3%

30.9%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

22.9%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Llosetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llosetense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murense than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llosetense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Murense - Llosetense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Murense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llosetense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Llosetense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Murense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Murense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Murense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.11.21	Mallorca B - Murense	4:0 ✺
14.11.21	Murense - Santanyí	3:4 ✺
06.11.21	Serverense - Murense	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Murense - Collerense	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Portmany - Murense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWL
- CD Llosetense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.11.21	Llosetense - Platges de Calvià	1:2 ✺
13.11.21	Sant Rafel - Llosetense	0:1 ✺
06.11.21	Llosetense - Rotlet Molinar	3:0 ✺
30.10.21	PE Sant Jordi - Llosetense	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Llosetense - Sóller	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.10.18	Murense - Llosetense	0:0

Murense - Llosetense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Murense - Llosetense Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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