The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Murom 38.1%
Draw 27.9%
Luki-Energiya 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
27.5%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
27.1%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Murom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Luki-Energiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murom than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Murom - Luki Energiya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Shvedyuk I. 🟥,
45+1', 1 - 0, Bolov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', Dvoretskov F. 🟥,
80', 2 - 0, Abdullaev I. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murom won 3.
Murom has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Luki-Energiya shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Luki-Energiya could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Murom has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:4 (averaging 1.3:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Murom against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.3 per game).
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