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Current Win Probability
Murom 27.7%
Draw 28.3%
Veles Moscow 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.4%
28.9%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
29.4%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Murom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
85. Zheymo N. (G) 9. Abdullaev G. 77. Abdullaev I. 88. Bolov R. 22. Dvoretskov F. (C) 15. Livadnov E. 11. Magomedbekov U. 5. Orazaev I. 8. Saaduev S. 55. Saidov A. 89. Shatalov D.
41. Samok S. (G) 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 90. Galkin V. 6. Melikov I. 7. Murza A. 87. Nikin I. 80. Rybalko M. (C) 88. Sadov D. 18. Sergeev D. 23. Skvortsov K. 70. Zakharzhevskiy M.
Substitutes
10. Andreev M. 2. Babayan R. 68. Danilov E. 50. Faizullin D. 13. Gasanov S. 1. Ionov D. 21. Kozlovskiy N. 99. Penchelyuzov A. 81. Roshchin K. 91. Zavjalov N. (G)
10. Bammatgereev M. 9. Giraev K. 5. Koloskov A. 11. Korolkov K. 94. Kuchugura D. 13. Markov B. (G) 21. Sapozhnikov I. 97. Shubin A. 77. Smirnov O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Galkin V. 🟨,
30', Melikov I. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Shatalov D. ↓, Roshchin K. ↑,
46', Skvortsov K. ↓, Smirnov O. ↑,
46', Galkin V. ↓, Kuchugura D. ↑,
46', Murza A. ↓, Giraev K. ↑,
58', Saaduev S. ↓, Kozlovskiy N. ↑,
58', Abdullaev G. ↓, Faizullin D. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Kozlovskiy N. ⚽,
74', Sergeev D. ↓, Korolkov K. ↑,
74', Bezchasnyuk A. ↓, Sapozhnikov I. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murom won 0.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Veles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Veles could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Murom won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Murom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Veles Moscow - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 44.65%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.