Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Ekspress (Velikiye Luki)


	Luki-Energiya		Ural

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.75	1.56
	5.6	3.61	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↓ (7.85)	3.68 ↓ (4.05)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luki-Energiya
17.9%

Draw
24.8%

Ural
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

23.7%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

22.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luki-Energiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luki-Energiya's performance.

Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ural might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luki-Energiya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ural could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Saganovich D. (G) 14. Andyamov V. 9. Dibirgadzhiev D. 74. Edzhibia N. 88. Galanin I. 8. Kiselev V. 21. Pankov E. A. 80. Pipo A. 5. Salnikov I. (C) 7. Shvedyuk I. 6. Ushakhin L.	86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 61. Alferov I. 55. Basyrov D. 40. Khrisanfov N. 18. Morozov N. 45. Mozuchin Y. 35. Prishchepa D. (C) 92. Ryzhkov I. 62. Satuchin P. 43. Shoronov R. 30. Sidorov K.
Substitutes
17. Egorov A. 27. Galimov A. 23. Kuzmin O. 4. Lunev V. 99. Melnik D. (G) 22. Mustafin B. 2. Seraskhov A. 11. Shestakov I.	87. Akhmedyanov A. 77. Alexandrov Alexandrovich M. (G) 90. Arabachyan T. 82. Bondarenko S. 11. Fotin A. 33. Gazhalov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Edzhibia N. ⚽,
21', Ryzhkov I. 🟨,
41', Satuchin P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shoronov R. ↓, Fotin A. ↑,
46', Alferov I. ↓, Arabachyan T. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Dibirgadzhiev D. ⚽,
67', Andyamov V. 🟨,
70', Shvedyuk I. 🟨,
72', Dibirgadzhiev D. ↓, Mustafin B. ↑,
72', Andyamov V. ↓, Seraskhov A. ↑,
72', Satuchin P. ↓, Akhmedyanov A. ↑,
79', Galanin I. ↓, Galimov A. ↑,
90+3', Morozov N. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 2 - 1, Morozov N. ⚽,
90+3', Kiselev V. ↓, Kuzmin O. ↑,
90+3', Pankov E. A. ↓, Egorov A. ↑,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Ural is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luki-Energiya Velikiye Luki
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
06.09.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Luki-Energiya	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
27.08.26	Luki-Energiya - Cherepovets	4:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
23.08.26	Dynamo Vologda - Luki-Energiya	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Luki-Energiya - Baltika 2	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Luki-Energiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTLW
- FK Ural
Russian FNL
06.09.26	Ural - KAMAZ	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Arsenal Tula - Ural	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ural - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Rotor - Ural	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Ural - Ufa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWTW

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