Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 11

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Murom		Rotor

	1	X	2
	3.28	3.39	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.39)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murom
28.2%

Draw
27.3%

Rotor
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

27.8%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

27.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 24. Azyavin I. 88. Chupin V. 27. Esin V. 47. Gabdullin I. 67. Kozlov V. 10. Levin M. 4. Mikhailenko D. 39. Murza A. 8. Samsonov A. (C) 21. Yanov D.	1. Averkiev V. (G) 26. Dvoretskov F. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 24. Krashevskiy Y. 15. Lavrishchev D. 4. Nikitin A. 2. Pelikh D. 85. Pyatkin I. 17. Safronov I. 5. Shumskikh A. (C) 6. Zavezen Y.
Substitutes
23. Agureev D. 2. Eliseev I. 18. Komissarov G. 22. Kopylov D. 1. Sedov E. (G) 11. Sysuev D.	63. Ageev M. 7. Arsentiev D. 88. Bolov R. 73. Chagrov N. (G) 80. Dontsov K. 91. Kamlashev D. 12. Prishchepa D. 8. Shilnikov G. 54. Shmakov I. 11. Usanov A. 23. Zuykov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, Dvoretskov F. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Pyatkin I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 2, Azyavin I. ⚽,
64', Safronov I. 🟨,
65', Chupin V. 🟨,
68', Samsonov A. ↓, Sysuev D. ↑,
74', Sysuev D. 🟨,
77', Dvoretskov F. ↓, Usanov A. ↑,
77', Safronov I. ↓, Arsentiev D. ↑,
83', Krashevskiy Y. ↓, Prishchepa D. ↑,
83', Lavrishchev D. ↓, Bolov R. ↑,
84', Murza A. ↓, Agureev D. ↑,
90+4', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Kamlashev D. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 and 6).

Recent matches Murom is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rotor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murom could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Murom have a series of guest games.

In this match Rotor is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Murom won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Murom won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
24.04.24	Krasnodar 2 - Murom	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Murom	5:2 ✺
07.04.24	Veles Moscow - Murom	1:0 ✺
03.04.24	Murom - Ufa	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Novosibirsk - Murom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLWL
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
24.04.24	Rotor - Veles Moscow	2:3 ✺
20.04.24	Novosibirsk - Rotor	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Rotor - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Rotor - Rodina Moscow 2	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Krasnodar 2 - Rotor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
18.03.24	Rotor - Murom	1:1
12.11.23	Rotor - Murom	3:0
16.07.23	Murom - Rotor	1:1
Russian FNL Cup
11.02.19	Rotor - Murom	3:1

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