Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 12 June 2024, Wednesday


	Novosibirsk		Rotor

	1	X	2
	2.43	3.29	3.34
	2.37	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.24)	3.15 ↓ (3.49)	3.1 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novosibirsk
39.4%

Draw
30.1%

Rotor
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kiselev M. (G) 17. Bammatgereev M. 67. Erokhin K. 49. Karaev M. 86. Kobyalko A. 6. Kuzmin A. 21. Makurin A. 24. Popov K. 10. Rozhkov N. 18. Shalaev O. (C) 88. Tyurin V.	1. Averkiev V. (G) 88. Bolov R. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 91. Kamlashev D. 4. Nikitin A. 2. Pelikh D. 12. Prishchepa D. 17. Safronov I. 54. Shmakov I. 5. Shumskikh A. (C) 6. Zavezen Y.
Substitutes
70. Bakharev G. 11. Glukhov E. 53. Ilyushenok M. (G) 91. Konev A. 31. Polyanskiy D. (G) 54. Sergeevich G. 41. Smirnov M. 25. Solovyov A.	63. Ageev M. 9. Akhmedkhanov R. 73. Chagrov N. (G) 80. Dontsov K. 24. Krashevskiy Y. 78. Mukhin E. 85. Pyatkin I. 8. Shilnikov G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Erokhin K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Tyurin V. ↓, Bakharev G. ↑,
63', Kobyalko A. ↓, Konev A. ↑,
65', Bolov R. ↓, Ageev M. ↑,
65', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Akhmedkhanov R. ↑,
65', Shmakov I. ↓, Pyatkin I. ↑,
71', Popov K. ↓, Glukhov E. ↑,
73', Kamlashev D. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Rozhkov N. ⚽,
82', Safronov I. 🟨,
83', Safronov I. ↓, Krashevskiy Y. ↑,
86', Kuzmin A. ↓, Solovyov A. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Ageev M. ⚽,
90+5', Shilnikov G. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Novosibirsk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rotor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rotor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Rotor have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Novosibirsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Novosibirsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Novosibirsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.06.24	Novosibirsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:3 ✺
03.06.24	Rotor - Novosibirsk	1:0 ✺
30.05.24	Veles Moscow - Novosibirsk	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Novosibirsk - Krasnodar 2	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Ufa - Novosibirsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTWL
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.06.24	Ufa - Rotor	0:0 ✺
03.06.24	Rotor - Novosibirsk	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rotor	3:1 ✺
22.05.24	Chelyabinsk - Rotor	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Murom - Rotor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
03.06.24	Rotor - Novosibirsk	1:0
20.04.24	Novosibirsk - Rotor	2:0

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