Match Info

MYANMAR: National League - Round 8

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday

Location: Thuwunna Stadium (Yangon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malaysia	MRTV 4


	Myawady		Mahar United

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.49
				Watch
	4.75	4.38	1.49
	5.08	4.48	1.5	Watch
	5.51	4.25	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↑ (3.62)	4.3 ↑ (3.71)	1.49 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Myawady
17.9%

Draw
21.1%

Mahar United
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

24.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

24.1%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Myawady has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Myawady's form might have worsened.

Mahar United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mahar United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Myawady than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Myawady, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mahar United than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mahar United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Myawady - Mahar United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oo T. N. (G) 11. Aung H. L. 44. Aung K. K. 3. Aung M. T. (C) 4. Aung T. H. 6. Kyaw T. A. 47. Lin K. H. 31. Naung Y. P. 19. Oo M. M. 10. Yan Y. M. 29. Zaw T. H.	1. Latt A. K. (G) 99. Gilles P. 3. Hein K. H. 8. Min K. S. 55. Moukailou K. 4. Naing T. S. (C) 32. Nuan Thang B. 25. Soe N. L. 5. Thein T. 90. Thet Naing 77. Win A. H.
Substitutes
16. Aung Aye Chan 27. Aung P. P. (G) 26. Hlaing S. O. 17. Htet N. Z. 30. Kyaw K. H. 38. Maung S. T. 34. Si Thu K. 22. Thu Hlaing Myint 21. Zaw T.	18. Aung M. H. (G) 45. Hein K. Z. 10. Htay W. K. 6. Kyaw A. k. 13. Lin K. Z. 11. Phyo M. M. 88. Tun H. Z. 20. Win T. Z. 14. Yan H. W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Moukailou K. 🟨,
29', Zaw T. H. 🟨,
40', Naung Y. P. ↓, Maung S. T. ↑,
40', Zaw T. H. ↓, Zaw T. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 1, Gilles P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Zaw T. 🟨,
54', Min K. S. ↓, Kyaw A. k. ↑,
54', Gilles P. ↓, Htay W. K. ↑,
60', Yan Y. M. ↓, Htet N. Z. ↑,
60', Aung K. K. ↓, Hlaing S. O. ↑,
64', Thet Naing ↓, Lin K. Z. ↑,
64', Moukailou K. ↓, Phyo M. M. ↑,
79', Oo M. M. ↓, Thu Hlaing Myint ↑,
90', Thein T. ↓, Hein K. Z. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6).

Myawady is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mahar United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Myawady have a series of guest games.

In this match Mahar United is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Myawady won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Myawady won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Myawady FC
Myanmar National League
18.08.24	Yadanarbon - Myawady	3:0 ✺
09.08.24	Dagon Port - Myawady	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	ISPE - Myawady	2:0 ✺
29.07.24	Myawady - Rakhine United	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Ayeyawady United - Myawady	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTW
- Mahar United
Myanmar National League
19.08.24	Mahar United - Thitsar Arman	4:1 ✺
12.08.24	Mahar United - Dagon	0:3 ✺
04.08.24	Mahar United - Dagon Port	3:3 ✺
27.07.24	Yangon United - Mahar United	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Rakhine United - Mahar United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
04.12.23	Myawady - Mahar United	4:2
23.06.23	Mahar United - Myawady	1:3
15.09.22	Myawady - Mahar United	2:1
08.08.22	Mahar United - Myawady	0:4
11.03.18	Myawady - Mahar United	1:2

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