Match Info

Date: 7 May 2021, Friday


	Mykolaiv		Chornomorets Odesa

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.75
	2.6	3.11	2.87
	2.38	2.88	2.9
	2.43	3.14	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.44)	3.03 ↓ (3.13)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mykolaiv
37.3%

Draw
30.3%

Chornomorets Odesa
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.4%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

20.5%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mykolaiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mykolaiv than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mykolaiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chornomorets Odesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Mykolaiv is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chornomorets in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mykolaiv won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Mykolaiv won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Mykolaiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
30.04.21	Mykolaiv - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	1:0 ✺
24.04.21	Veres Rivne - Mykolaiv	3:1 ✺
16.04.21	Mykolaiv - Obolon	5:3 ✺
10.04.21	Hirnyk-Sport - Mykolaiv	0:3 ✺
05.04.21	Mykolaiv - Kramatorsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWT
- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Persha Liga
30.04.21	Nyva Ternopil - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1 ✺
23.04.21	Chornomorets Odesa - VPK-Agro	2:0 ✺
16.04.21	Kremin Kremenchuk - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Polissya Zhytomyr	2:1 ✺
05.04.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup
16.09.20	Mykolaiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0
25.09.19	Mykolaiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.09.19	Mykolaiv - Chornomorets Odesa	0:0

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