Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ternopilsky Misky Stadion (Ternopil)


	Nyva Ternopil		Chornomorets Odesa

	1	X	2
	3.65	3	2.05
	3.54	3.14	1.96
	5.02	3.78	1.60	Watch
	3.65	3.15	1.97
	4.9	3.8	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↓ (4.9)	3.37 ↓ (3.8)	1.83 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyva Ternopil
22.2%

Draw
27.4%

Chornomorets Odesa
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

23.9%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

23.6%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyva Ternopil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chornomorets Odesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chornomorets Odesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nyva Ternopil - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sharun V. (G) 14. Bats M. 44. Davydov S. 4. Demydenko A. 21. Gerega O. 11. Mykhalchuk M. 33. Mysyk M. (C) 45. Napuda V. 91. Rezepov D. 6. Tlumak Y. 99. Vyshynskyi B.	12. Aniagboso C. (G) 28. Gabelok A. 77. Gerych V. 24. Jarju M. 17. Kogut I. 10. Kulach V. 44. Rakitskyi Y. (C) 18. Robakidze G. 30. Romanyuk Y. 6. Sklyar O. 3. Yermakov V.
Substitutes
9. Bey A. 32. Bidzinskyi B. 86. Borys A. 24. Dudarev D. 77. Galadey D. 10. Palamarchuk I. 17. Pezhynskyi M. 18. Posyevkin R.	90. Hernandez L. 8. Jobe M. 9. Khoblenko O. 95. Lopyryonok M. 23. Lunyov M. 13. Osman O. 11. Popov K. 22. Ryazantsev Y. 80. Ryce A. 39. Skyba Y. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Rakitskyi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jarju M. ↓, Skyba Y. ↑,
55', Napuda V. ↓, Galadey D. ↑,
63', Rezepov D. ↓, Bey A. ↑,
77', Kogut I. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
81', Robakidze G. ↓, Ryce A. ↑,
81', Rakitskyi Y. ↓, Lopyryonok M. ↑,
82', Gerych V. 🟨,
85', Kulach V. 🟨,
88', Kulach V. ↓, Ryazantsev Y. ↑,
90+4', Ryce A. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent form of Nyva T has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chornomorets has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nyva T may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chornomorets is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nyva T won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nyva T won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.11.25	Nyva Ternopil - UCSA	1:4 ✺
02.11.25	Vorskla Poltava - Nyva Ternopil	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
28.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Nyva Ternopil	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
24.10.25	Nyva Ternopil - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Nyva Ternopil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.11.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Nyva Ternopil	2:1
30.04.21	Nyva Ternopil - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1

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