Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Málaga		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.05	3.1
	2.38	3.16	3.38
	2.16	2.88	3.93	Watch
	2.43	3.08	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.52)	3.11 ↑ (3)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
41.1%

Draw
30.4%

Cádiz
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

32%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

33.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Cádiz aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Málaga - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cádiz will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 16. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 20. Montero J. 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 5. Brasanac D. 8. Juanpe 22. Lorenzo D. 9. Chupe 21. Nino A.	13. Aznar V. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 14. Kovacevic B. 6. Ortega I. 21. Climent M. 12. Tabatadze I. 5. Diakite M. 15. Ortuno S. 7. Ugiagbe E. 11. Suso (C) 23. Pascual A.
Substitutes
7. Abaida H. 25. Dorrio J. 12. Dotor C. 2. Gabilondo J. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 35. Ochoa A. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.	30. Blanco R. (G) 17. Camara D. 18. Diarra Y. 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 9. Marti R. 2. Moreno J. 10. Ocampo B. 22. Ontiveros J. 33. Pereira R. 26. Perez F. (G)
Coaches
Pellicer S.	Garitano G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Ortuno S. ⚽,
32', Nino A. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brasanac D. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
46', Garcia V. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
59', Galilea E. 🟨,
65', Ugiagbe E. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
69', Tabatadze I. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
69', Suso ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
71', Juanpe ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
81', Pascual A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
82', Montero J. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
90+2', Climent M. 🟨,
90+5', Carcelen I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.

In recent matches, Málaga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cádiz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cádiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Málaga might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Munoz J. (Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Injury) Sanchez D. (Illness)

There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Merino I. (Ankle Injury) Nino A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Gil D. (Knee Injury) Ontiveros J. (Knock) de la Rosa J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Málaga - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 38.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
13.09.25	Huesca - Málaga	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Málaga - Granada	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Las Palmas - Málaga	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Málaga - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Málaga - Eibar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWWT
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
13.09.25	Cádiz - Eibar	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Real Sociedad B - Cádiz	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Cádiz - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Leganés - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Cádiz - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.03.25	Málaga - Cádiz	0:2
12.10.24	Cádiz - Málaga	2:2
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Málaga - Cádiz	0:2
26.08.20	Málaga - Cádiz	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
16.02.20	Cádiz - Málaga	0:1
12.10.19	Málaga - Cádiz	1:2
Club Friendly
10.08.19	Cádiz - Málaga	1:0

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