Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Málaga Juniors		Atlético Porcuna

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.2
	2.69	3.43	2.25
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.28)	3.34 ↓ (3.46)	2.23 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Málaga Juniors
32.9%

Draw
26.8%

Atlético Porcuna
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.3%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

25.5%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Málaga Juniors's performance.

Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Porcuna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga Juniors than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Málaga Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Porcuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Málaga Juniors - Atlético Porcuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Pegalajar ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', Burgos J. 🟥,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Málaga City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlético Porcuna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Porcuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético Porcuna will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Málaga City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Málaga Juniors FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.02.25	Motril - Málaga Juniors	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Málaga Juniors - Torre Del Mar	1:3 ✺
26.01.25	El Ejido - Málaga Juniors	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Málaga Juniors - Huétor Vega	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Málaga Juniors - Arenas Armilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTL
- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.02.25	El Palo - Atlético Porcuna	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Tájar	3:2 ✺
19.01.25	Torredonjimeno - Atlético Porcuna	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Atlético Porcuna - Martos	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	Motril - Atlético Porcuna	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.03.23	Atlético Porcuna - Málaga Juniors	2:1
26.11.22	Málaga Juniors - Atlético Porcuna	1:0

Málaga Juniors - Atlético Porcuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide