Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Mérida AD		San Roque de Lepe

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.1	4.75
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.72	3.3	4.4
	1.67	3.83	4.9
	1.68	3.44	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	4.73 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
54%

Draw
26.7%

San Roque de Lepe
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

27.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

22.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Mérida AD - San Roque de Lepe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 11).

Mérida AD is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Roque de Lepe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mérida AD could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mérida AD is a favorite.

Recent matches San Roque de Lepe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.11.21	Antequera - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
07.11.21	Mérida AD - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	UD San Fernando - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Mérida AD - Tamaraceite	6:1 ✺
17.10.21	Don Benito - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWWT
- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.11.21	San Roque de Lepe - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Cacereño - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	San Roque de Lepe - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
23.10.21	San Roque de Lepe - Montijo	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Antequera - San Roque de Lepe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.04.16	San Roque de Lepe - Mérida AD	0:0
22.11.15	Mérida AD - San Roque de Lepe	3:2

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