Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.55
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.75	3.1	2.36
	3.09	2.96	2.48
	2.84	3.28	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.52)	3.11 ↓ (3.21)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
33.3%

Draw
29.4%

Mérida AD
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

20.3%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mérida AD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UD San Fernando - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

San Fernando has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.10.21	Villanovense - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	UD San Fernando - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Córdoba - UD San Fernando	4:1 ✺
03.10.21	UD San Fernando - San Roque de Lepe	0:0 ✺
26.09.21	Antequera - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.10.21	Mérida AD - Tamaraceite	6:1 ✺
17.10.21	Don Benito - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.10.21	Mérida AD - Moralo	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.10.21	Mérida AD - Coria	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Numancia - Mérida AD	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLLW

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