Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Villarrobledo

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.45	4	6.3
	1.48	3.65	6.2
	1.49	4.07	7.41
	1.45	4.16	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	3.88 ↑ (3.66)	6.57 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
62.3%

Draw
23.7%

Villarrobledo
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24.6%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.7%

20.1%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Villarrobledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Mérida AD - Villarrobledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage) and 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group)).

Villarrobledo is Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group)

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarrobledo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villarrobledo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mérida AD is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.03.21	Badajoz - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Mérida AD - Extremadura UD	0:1 ✺
20.02.21	Don Benito - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
17.02.21	Mérida AD - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
13.02.21	Mérida AD - Socuéllamos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTW
- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.03.21	Villarrobledo - Villanovense	1:2 ✺
07.03.21	Talavera de la Reina - Villarrobledo	2:1 ✺
21.02.21	Villarrubia - Villarrobledo	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Villarrobledo - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
10.02.21	Villarrobledo - Melilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.02.21	Villarrobledo - Mérida AD	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.12.19	Mérida AD - Villarrobledo	0:0

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