Match Info

Date: 14 February 2021, Sunday


	Villarrobledo		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.7	1.45
	6.5	3.5	1.52
	6	3.8	1.47
	6.9	3.89	1.53
	7.3	3.85	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.59 ↓ (6.78)	3.75 ↓ (4.22)	1.49 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrobledo
13.9%

Draw
24.4%

Badajoz
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

21.3%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

18.5%

75.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrobledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Badajoz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villarrobledo - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Promotion Group)).

Villarrobledo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Badajoz in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Badajoz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Badajoz is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarrobledo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarrobledo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.02.21	Villarrobledo - Melilla	1:1 ✺
06.02.21	Extremadura UD - Villarrobledo	3:1 ✺
03.02.21	Villarrobledo - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
31.01.21	Villarrobledo - Don Benito	1:2 ✺
24.01.21	Socuéllamos - Villarrobledo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.02.21	Villarrubia - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
31.01.21	Badajoz - Extremadura UD	2:1 ✺
24.01.21	Don Benito - Badajoz	1:3 ✺
17.01.21	Badajoz - Socuéllamos	4:0 ✺
10.01.21	Badajoz - Melilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.11.20	Badajoz - Villarrobledo	5:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.20	Villarrobledo - Badajoz	1:3
13.10.19	Badajoz - Villarrobledo	3:2

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