Match Info

Date: 13 February 2021, Saturday


	Mérida AD		Socuéllamos

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.25
	2.2	2.9	3.4
	2.25	2.7	3.35
	2.38	2.86	3.64
	2.28	2.93	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.89)	2.87 ↓ (2.98)	3.39 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
40.9%

Draw
32%

Socuéllamos
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

30.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

23.4%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mérida AD's form might have worsened.

Socuéllamos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Socuéllamos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mérida AD - Socuéllamos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage) and 9 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Mérida AD will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.02.21	Melilla - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
03.02.21	Villarrobledo - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
24.01.21	Mérida AD - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
17.01.21	Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
13.12.20	Mérida AD - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWLWW
- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.02.21	Socuéllamos - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
31.01.21	Talavera de la Reina - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
24.01.21	Socuéllamos - Villarrobledo	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Badajoz - Socuéllamos	4:0 ✺
10.01.21	Extremadura UD - Socuéllamos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.11.20	Socuéllamos - Mérida AD	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
02.06.19	Mérida AD - Socuéllamos	1:0 penalties
26.05.19	Socuéllamos - Mérida AD	0:0

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