Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	México		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.4	1.75
	4.42	3.58	1.73
	3.22	3.43	2.09	Watch
	4.59	3.44	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.88)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	1.82 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

México
22.6%

Draw
26.6%

Móstoles URJC
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.2%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

México - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Móstoles is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, México won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	CD Mostoles	5	3	2	0	6:2	4	11
14	Mexico FC	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.03.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - México	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	México - Racing Madrid	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Las Rozas - México	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	México - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Villaverde San Andrés - México	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTWT
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Tres Cantos	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Carabanchel - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Galapagar - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Móstoles URJC - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Racing Madrid - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.11.25	Móstoles URJC - México	2:1

México - Móstoles URJC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide