Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)


	Rayo Majadahonda		Conquense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.75
	1.82	3	4.35
	1.79	3.24	4.53	Watch
	1.8	2.9	4.5
	1.81	3.04	4.6
	1.81	3.14	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.67)	3.05 ↓ (3.16)	4.54 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
50.4%

Draw
29.7%

Conquense
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

28.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

27.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Majadahonda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Rayo Majadahonda - Conquense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Plomer D. ⚽,
76', 2 - 0, Ramos I. ⚽,
83', Soto D. 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

Rayo Majadahonda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Conquense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Rayo Majadahonda is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rayo Majadahonda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Rayo Majadahonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Conquense	5	3	1	1	10:7	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.01.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Intercity	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Rayo Majadahonda	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWT
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.01.26	Conquense - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Elche Ilicitano - Conquense	5:2 ✺
20.12.25	Conquense - Intercity	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Socuéllamos - Conquense	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Conquense - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.09.25	Conquense - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1
12.01.25	Conquense - Rayo Majadahonda	2:3
31.08.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Conquense	2:1

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