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Current Win Probability
Móstoles URJC 58%
Draw 25.5%
Alcorcón B 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
24.2%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
24.2%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Móstoles URJC - Alcorcón B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Móstoles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Móstoles is considered a favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).