Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 10

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Jaunmārupes stadions (Jaunmārupe)


	Mārupe		Leevon PPK

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.75	2.37
				Watch
				Watch
	2.43	3.38	2.49
	2.25	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	3.46 ↓ (4)	2.4 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mārupe
37.8%

Draw
25.4%

Leevon PPK
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

22.6%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

22.8%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Leevon PPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leevon PPK than the current prediction. (+1%)

Mārupe - Leevon PPK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zandreiters R. (G) 11. Cebotarjovs V. 23. Kirilins A. 17. Korolcuks R. 7. Korsaks K. (C) 19. Krievins R. 77. Lusins K. 14. Oliynyk M. 20. Speks R. 21. Strauss G. 22. Zarovs N.	12. Saulitis H. (G) 2. Arsauskis R. 32. Cevers R. 11. Jankovskis N. 25. Kirkils G. (C) 21. Kravcenko K. 10. Liepins L. 97. Muiznieks R. 99. Romenskis D. 4. Trapucka D. 33. Treimanis N.
Substitutes
12. Bareika K. (G) 33. Calitis M. 9. Dobrajs M. 41. Garais P. 26. Jansons K. 24. Julmanis A. 18. Roga R. 10. Sadovnikovs R. 15. Seliverstovs A.	8. Baturinskis A. 9. Ginters R. 23. Hibsmanis V. 37. Korzans R. 15. Krums R. 7. Romenskis D. 1. Rumanis M. (G) 24. Strods D. 34. Stuglis I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Cevers R. ↓, Strods D. ↑,
34', 1 - 0, Korolcuks R. ⚽, Cebotarjovs V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Romenskis D. ↓, Korzans R. ↑,
59', Zarovs N. ↓, Sadovnikovs R. ↑,
65', Liepins L. ↓, Krums R. ↑,
65', Treimanis N. ↓, Stuglis I. ↑,
75', Kirilins A. ↓, Jansons K. ↑,
75', Lusins K. ↓, Garais P. ↑,
80', Trapucka D. 🟨,
82', Arsauskis R. 🟨,
90', Oliynyk M. ↓, Roga R. ↑,
90+2', Cebotarjovs V. 🟨,
90+2', Roga R. 🟨,
90+4', Sadovnikovs R. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Mārupe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mārupes SC
Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Ķekava Auda - Mārupe	0:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.25	Mārupe - Rēzekne	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Skanstes - Mārupe	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Mārupe - Riga 2	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	JDFS Alberts - Mārupe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLWL
- Leevon PPK
Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Dienvidkurzeme - Leevon PPK	1:2 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
23.05.25	Leevon PPK - Skanstes	4:2 ✺
18.05.25	Riga 2 - Leevon PPK	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Leevon PPK - JDFS Alberts	0:4 ✺
03.05.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Leevon PPK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
07.09.24	Mārupe - Leevon PPK	1:0
20.04.24	Leevon PPK - Mārupe	4:2

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