Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 14

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Leevon PPK		Skanstes

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.40	5.25
	1.43	4.55	5.30
	1.41	4.50	5.46
	1.43	4.71	5.49	Watch
	1.39	4.45	5.40
	1.41	4.50	5.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.57)	4.52 ↑ (4.3)	5.46 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leevon PPK
63.6%

Draw
19.9%

Skanstes
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

21.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

17.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leevon PPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leevon PPK's performance.

Skanstes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leevon PPK than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leevon PPK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skanstes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leevon PPK - Skanstes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Treimanis N. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Abdulraheem T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Paul J. ⚽, Jaunarajs-Janvaris R. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).

Leevon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Skanstes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leevon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leevon is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leevon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Leevon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Leevon PPK	21	15	4	2	43:25	18	49
7	Skanste	21	8	2	11	43:42	1	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leevon PPK
Latvian 1 Liga
18.07.26	Leevon PPK - Riga Mariners	2:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
10.07.26	Leevon PPK - Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
05.07.26	Valmiera - Leevon PPK	4:1 ✺
28.06.26	Leevon PPK - Metta	1:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
20.06.26	JFK Ventspils - Leevon PPK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLW
- Skanstes SK
Latvian 1 Liga
18.07.26	Skanstes - Valmiera	0:3 ✺
11.07.26	Skanstes - JFK Ventspils	0:3 ✺
04.07.26	Metta - Skanstes	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	Smiltene - Skanstes	2:4 ✺
14.06.26	Skanstes - Riga Mariners	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
22.03.26	Skanstes - Leevon PPK	1:2
23.05.25	Leevon PPK - Skanstes	4:2
21.09.24	Skanstes - Leevon PPK	3:0
Latvian Cup
21.06.24	Leevon PPK - Skanstes	2:1 penalties
Latvian 1 Liga
19.05.24	Leevon PPK - Skanstes	2:0

Leevon PPK - Skanstes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide