Match Info
Nakotnes liga - Round 15Date: 1 August 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Latvia | Futbols TV |
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Skanstes |
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Mārupe |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.45 |
3.50 |
2.35 |
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2.45 |
3.45 |
2.40 |
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 |
2.42 |
3.38 |
2.48 |
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 |
2.49 |
3.56 |
2.44 |
 Watch |
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2.35 |
3.30 |
2.45 |
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 |
2.57 |
3.85 |
2.31 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.63) |
3.51 ↓
(3.68) |
2.41 ↑
(2.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Skanstes
36.8% | Draw
25.7% | Mārupe
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Skanstes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+1.5%)Skanstes - Mārupe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Baltrusaitis D. ⚽, Scerbinskis A. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Penka R. ⚽, Korsaks K. (A),
- 35', 2 - 1, Scerbinskis A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 3 - 1, Scerbinskis A. ⚽,
- 59', 4 - 1, Abdulraheem T. ⚽,
- 67', 4 - 2, Minasyan A. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 6).Recent form of Skanstes has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Mārupe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Mārupe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Mārupe has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skanstes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).Including home matches between the teams, Skanstes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Marupe | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Skanste | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 43:42 | 1 | 26 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Latvian 1 Liga | | | 04.04.26 | Mārupe - Skanstes | 4:0 | | 28.09.25 | Mārupe - Skanstes | 0:1 | | 17.05.25 | Skanstes - Mārupe | 1:0 | | 03.08.24 | Mārupe - Skanstes | 0:0 | | 06.04.24 | Skanstes - Mārupe | 1:1 |
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