Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Mġarr United		Żurrieq

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.8	4.1
	1.53	4.17	5.17	Watch
	1.47	4.25	5.47
	1.53	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)	4.08 ↑ (3.67)	4.94 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mġarr United
59%

Draw
22.5%

Żurrieq
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

24.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mġarr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mġarr United's performance.

Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Mġarr United - Żurrieq Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Debono J. (G) 27. Attard M. 15. Borg A. (C) 29. Donsu K. 18. Ebisindor C. 11. Gauci C. 6. Howland T. 24. Mifsud M. 5. Mijic L. 2. Vukovic D. 14. Zammit C.	1. Stone N. (G) 17. Atkins E. 9. Bah S. M. 99. Borg D. 88. Buttigieg J. C. 8. Camilleri E. 96. Darmanin S. (C) 5. Glamour E. C. 25. Ihuomah B. 19. Portelli X. 18. Vella L.
Substitutes
7. Azzopardi K. 23. Boakye S. 3. Bonnici K. 4. Camilleri R. 17. Farrugia L. 95. Galea I. 22. Galea Z. 12. Muscat J. 19. Zammit J.	87. Bezzina S. 3. Bonnici M. 94. Borg J. (G) 16. Caruana L. 12. Cocker L. (G) 11. de Barros A. 15. Farrugia S. 14. Tabone M. 22. Zerafa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Portelli X. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Bah S. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Gauci C. 🟨,
55', Gauci C. ↓, Azzopardi K. ↑,
55', Donsu K. ↓, Boakye S. ↑,
58', Darmanin S. 🟨,
70', Glamour E. C. ↓, Bonnici M. ↑,
70', Vella L. ↓, de Barros A. ↑,
76', Vukovic D. ↓, Camilleri R. ↑,
77', Camilleri E. 🟨,
86', Debono J. 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

Mġarr United is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Żurrieq is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Mġarr United is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mġarr United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League
30.03.25	Swieqi United - Mġarr United	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Mġarr United - Valletta	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Mġarr United - Mtarfa	1:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTWW
- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
29.03.25	Żurrieq - Tarxien Rainbows	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Marsa - Żurrieq	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Swieqi United - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Żurrieq - Swieqi United	3:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
23.02.25	Żurrieq - Valletta	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
09.02.25	Żurrieq - Mġarr United	1:1

Mġarr United - Żurrieq: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide