Match Info

Challenge League - Round 3

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Mġarr United		Vittoriosa Stars

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.40	3.20
	1.85	3.45	3.35
	1.98	3.1	3.77	Watch
	1.83	3.58	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.04)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)	3.46 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mġarr United
47.4%

Draw
26.6%

Vittoriosa Stars
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25.9%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mġarr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Vittoriosa Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Mġarr United - Vittoriosa Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Buhagiar B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Igiebor W. ⚽,

Preview

Mġarr United is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Mġarr United has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mġarr United against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mgarr	5	3	0	2	7:5	2	9
12	Vittoriosa	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League
19.09.26	Melita - Mġarr United	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mġarr United - Tarxien Rainbows	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Żurrieq - Mġarr United	4:2 ✺
12.04.26	Mġarr United - Gudja United	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Mġarr United - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLLT
- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
19.09.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Gudja United	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Santa Lucia - Vittoriosa Stars	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Gudja United	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:1 ✺
01.04.26	Mtarfa - Vittoriosa Stars	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
15.03.26	Mġarr United - Vittoriosa Stars	1:1
27.09.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Mġarr United	1:0

Mġarr United - Vittoriosa Stars