Match Info

Challenge League - Round 4

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	St. Andrews		Mġarr United

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.30	2.05
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.22	2.95	2.26	Watch
	3.01	3.34	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.23)	3.22 ↓ (3.38)	2.12 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Andrews
29.5%

Draw
28%

Mġarr United
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.5%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Andrews has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

St. Andrews - Mġarr United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Igiebor W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, Muscat D. ⚽,

Preview

Mġarr United is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, St. Andrews has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:7 (averaging 1.8:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for St. Andrews against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mgarr	5	3	0	2	7:5	2	9
9	St. Andrews	5	2	1	2	3:6	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
11.10.26	Gudja United - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	St. Andrews - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Victoria Hotspurs - St. Andrews	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	St. Andrews - Swieqi United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTLWT
- Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League
10.10.26	Mġarr United - Vittoriosa Stars	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Melita - Mġarr United	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mġarr United - Tarxien Rainbows	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Żurrieq - Mġarr United	4:2 ✺
12.04.26	Mġarr United - Gudja United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
14.09.25	St. Andrews - Mġarr United	0:4
28.09.24	Mġarr United - St. Andrews	2:1
03.04.22	St. Andrews - Mġarr United	2:0
11.12.21	Mġarr United - St. Andrews	1:4

St. Andrews - Mġarr United