Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Mławianka Mława		Broń Radom

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3.1
	1.66	3.76	3.86
	1.98	3.66	3.17	Watch
	1.73	3.5	3.8
	1.99	3.54	3.16	Watch
	1.74	3.87	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.74)	3.64 ↓ (3.87)	3.41 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
48.8%

Draw
24.8%

Broń Radom
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

22.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

20.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Broń Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mławianka Mława, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Stryjewski Ma. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Rojkowski T. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Dziubinski A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 2, Dziubinski A. ⚽,
62', 3 - 2, Stryjewski Ma. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 3.

In recent matches, Mławianka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Broń Radom is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mławianka could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mławianka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Mlawa	11	3	1	7	22:32	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.04.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Mławianka Mława	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Mławianka Mława - Znicz Biała Piska	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Wikielec - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	GKS Bełchatów - Mławianka Mława	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Mławianka Mława - Wasilków	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW
- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.04.26	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Broń Radom	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Wigry Suwałki - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.10.25	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	1:1
31.05.25	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	0:3
09.11.24	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	2:1
12.04.24	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	0:0
16.09.23	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	3:0
01.04.23	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	2:4
27.08.22	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	4:2

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