Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Mławianka Mława		Ząbkovia Ząbki

	1	X	2
	4.15	4.05	1.6
	4.67	4.03	1.58	Watch
	3.51	4.13	1.81	Watch
	3.84	3.84	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.84)	4.01 ↑ (3.84)	1.67 (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
22.5%

Draw
22.7%

Ząbkovia Ząbki
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ząbkovia Ząbki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Mławianka Mława - Ząbkovia Ząbki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Jasinski M. ⚽,
64', Muniak S. 🟥,
79', 1 - 1, Pyrdol P. (Pen),
82', 2 - 1, Karwowski P. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Recent form of Mławianka has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ząbkovia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mławianka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ząbkovia is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mławianka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Mławianka Mława - ŁKS Łomża	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Mławianka Mława - Widzew Łódź II	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Mławianka Mława - Wigry Suwałki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLL
- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Widzew Łódź II	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Wikielec - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Znicz Biała Piska	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Broń Radom - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Legia II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Mławianka Mława	6:2

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