Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Mławianka Mława		Wigry Suwałki

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.62
	2.23	3.74	2.65	Watch
	2.24	3.62	2.67	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)	3.62 ↓ (3.63)	2.63 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
40.4%

Draw
25.1%

Wigry Suwałki
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Wigry Suwałki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Mławianka Mława - Wigry Suwałki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Michalowski F. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Michalowski F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 2, Stryjewski Mi. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wigry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Mławianka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Mławianka Mława - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.10.25	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Mławianka Mława - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Mławianka Mława	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Mławianka Mława - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Mławianka Mława - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWLL
- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wigry Suwałki	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Wigry Suwałki - Legia II	2:4 ✺
20.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wikielec	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.03.25	Wigry Suwałki - Mławianka Mława	1:2
10.08.24	Mławianka Mława - Wigry Suwałki	2:3

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