Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Náxara		Basconia

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.2	2.1
	3.41	3.27	2.12
	3.24	3.33	2.09	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.63
	3.39	3.39	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.31)	3.26 ↑ (3.23)	2.21 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
29.7%

Draw
28.4%

Basconia
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náxara's form might have worsened.

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basconia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náxara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basconia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Náxara - Basconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Rojo I. ⚽,
80', 2 - 0, Martinez H. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 0, Martinez H. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 11).

Náxara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Basconia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Náxara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.02.26	Zaragoza B - Náxara	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Náxara - Tudelano	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Náxara - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Utebo - Náxara	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Náxara - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTLW
- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.02.26	Basconia - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Eibar B - Basconia	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Basconia - Utebo	4:0 ✺
01.02.26	UD Logroñés - Basconia	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Basconia - Ebro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.25	Basconia - Náxara	2:0

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