Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Náxara		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	2.61	3.14	2.71
	3.03	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.62	3.14	2.72
	2.54	3.1	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.41)	3.07 ↑ (3.01)	2.59 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
34.6%

Draw
29.9%

Amorebieta
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Náxara - Amorebieta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Náxara (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Náxara (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Náxara (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Etxaniz J. ⚽,
58', Rodriguez Miguel 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Villoslada I. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Cano J. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Náxara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Náxara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Last Results with these Odds

Amorebieta - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.28%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.02.26	Utebo - Náxara	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Náxara - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Ebro - Náxara	4:1 ✺
11.01.26	Náxara - Mutilvera	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Beasain - Náxara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LWLLW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
31.01.26	Beasain - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Amorebieta - Utebo	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	UD Logroñés - Amorebieta	4:1 ✺
11.01.26	Amorebieta - Ebro	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.11.25	Amorebieta - Náxara	1:1

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