Match Info
Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday
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Náxara |
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Peña Sport |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.9 |
3.25 |
3.45 |
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 |
1.89 |
3.45 |
3.64 |
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 |
1.89 |
3.49 |
3.68 |
Watch |
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1.85 |
3.35 |
3.55 |
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 |
1.92 |
3.32 |
3.53 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (2.2) |
3.37 ↑ (3.08) |
3.57 ↑ (3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Náxara 47.8% | Draw 26.8% | Peña Sport 25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náxara's performance.Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náxara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Náxara - Peña Sport Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Preview
Náxara is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).Performances by Peña Sport have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Náxara could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Náxara holding a narrow advantage.In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Náxara has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Náxara against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Pena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
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| 17 | Naxara | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:8 | -7 | 1 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;