Match Info

3rd Division - Round 22

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: ALPI Arena Naesby (Odense)


	Næsby		BK Frem

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.35	2.4
	2.59	3.58	2.35
	2.57	3.74	2.32	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.3
	2.55	3.45	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.06)	3.47 ↓ (3.53)	2.34 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næsby
35.6%

Draw
25.9%

BK Frem
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

25.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næsby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Næsby's form might have worsened.

BK Frem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BK Frem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Næsby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BK Frem than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BK Frem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Næsby - BK Frem Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Næsby (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Næsby will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,
78', 3 - 1, ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Næsby won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Næsby could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Næsby won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 1.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Næsby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 1.1:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Naesby	10	5	2	3	20:14	6	17
10	BK Frem	10	2	3	5	17:19	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
02.04.26	Vanløse - Næsby	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Vejgaard - Næsby	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Næsby - Odder	3:4 ✺
07.03.26	Holbæk - Næsby	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWLW
- BK Frem
Danish 3 Division
02.04.26	BK Frem - FA 2000	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Lyseng - BK Frem	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	BK Frem - Vanløse	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Brønshøj BK - BK Frem	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	BK Frem - Nykøbing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
16.08.25	BK Frem - Næsby	1:2
15.06.24	BK Frem - Næsby	5:3
13.04.24	Næsby - BK Frem	1:4
28.10.23	BK Frem - Næsby	0:0
05.08.23	Næsby - BK Frem	4:2
21.05.22	Næsby - BK Frem	2:1
23.04.22	BK Frem - Næsby	4:1

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