Match Info

National 2 - Group C - Round 25

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade des Antonins (Nîmes)


	Nîmes		Lusitanos Saint-Maur

	1	X	2
	2	2.88	3.8
	2.12	2.79	3.56
	1.75	3.33	4.54	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.4
	2.1	2.84	3.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.7)	2.92 ↓ (3.38)	3.79 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
45%

Draw
31.1%

Lusitanos Saint-Maur
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

25.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nîmes's form might have worsened.

Lusitanos Saint-Maur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nîmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitanos Saint-Maur than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitanos Saint-Maur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nîmes - Lusitanos Saint Maur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National and 3).

Nîmes has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lusitanos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nîmes is a strong favorite.

We predict that Nîmes will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nîmes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nimes	6	5	1	0	15:3	12	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French National 1 - Group C
04.04.26	Rousset SVO - Nîmes	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Nîmes - GOAL FC	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Saint-Priest - Nîmes	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Creteil - Nîmes	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Nîmes - Grasse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTW
- US Lusitanos Saint-Maur
French National 1 - Group C
04.04.26	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - Creteil	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Grasse - Lusitanos Saint-Maur	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - FC 93	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Toulon - Lusitanos Saint-Maur	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group C
22.11.25	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - Nîmes	2:0

Nîmes - Lusitanos Saint-Maur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide