Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Boike J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland


	Nürnberg		Freiburg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	3.6	1.65
	4.62	4.01	1.64
	3.58	3.44	1.97	Watch
	4.31	3.75	1.67
	3.5	3.4	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.43)	3.64 ↑ (3.28)	1.78 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
22.8%

Draw
25.3%

Freiburg
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

27.6%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

26.7%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Freiburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Nürnberg - Freiburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Rusek L. (G) 16. Gambone A. 4. Guttenberger L. 5. Frohlich C. 15. Wos O. 22. Pollak J. 19. Homann S. 17. Licina S. 9. Miller L. 24. Lein N. 26. Polaskova A.	1. Benkarth L. (G) 19. Szenk N. 5. Stierli J. 16. Stegemann G. 2. Karl L. 4. Felde M. 15. Schneider M. 10. Vobian S. 27. Nachtigall S. 22. Kolb L. 23. Birkholz L. E.
Substitutes
29. Deuber H. 18. Mai F. 6. Mailbeck A. 25. Romero L. (G) 2. Svensson K. 12. Thole A.	33. Adamczyk R. (G) 8. Bienz A. 7. Blumenberg T. 17. Csillag A. 20. Egli L. 6. Ojukwu N. 24. Sigurdardottir I.
Coaches
Oostendorp T.	Kapllani E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Guttenberger L. ⚽, Lein N. (A),
29', Karl L. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Polaskova A. ⚽, Miller L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Nachtigall S. ↓, Csillag A. ↑,
46', Schneider M. ↓, Bienz A. ↑,
46', Kolb L. ↓, Egli L. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Wos O. (Own goal),
56', 3 - 1, Felde M. (Own goal),
64', Licina S. ↓, Mai F. ↑,
70', Felde M. ↓, Ojukwu N. ↑,
72', Miller L. ↓, Mailbeck A. ↑,
72', Polaskova A. ↓, Svensson K. ↑,
84', Stegemann G. ↓, Blumenberg T. ↑,
88', Rusek L. 🟨,
90', Homann S. ↓, Deuber H. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Egli L. ⚽, Birkholz L. E. (A),
90+6', Szenk N. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4).

Nürnberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Freiburg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Freiburg is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Nürnberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg Women
German Bundesliga Women
13.10.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Nürnberg	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	Nürnberg - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
28.09.25	Ingolstadt - Nürnberg	3:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga Women
24.09.25	TSG Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Nürnberg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLTL
- SC Freiburg Women
German Bundesliga Women
12.10.25	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
05.10.25	Union Berlin - Freiburg	0:3 ✺
23.09.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
19.09.25	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	6:2 ✺
12.09.25	Freiburg - Köln	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
17.03.24	Nürnberg - Freiburg	0:0
21.10.23	Freiburg - Nürnberg	0:2

Nürnberg - Freiburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide