Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Soeder A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	14:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	09:00	DAZN Brasil
Canada	08:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Denmark	14:00	Viaplay
Finland	15:00	Viaplay
France	14:00	DAZN France
Germany	14:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Iceland	12:00	Viaplay
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	21:00	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	14:00	Viaplay
Norway	14:00	Viaplay
Portugal	13:00	DAZN / App
Spain	14:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	14:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	14:00	DAZN Switzerland
United Kingdom	13:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Usa	08:00	DAZN USA
International	12:00	Onefootball


	Union Berlin		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.04	4.17
	4.12	3.38	1.86	Watch
	1.79	3.58	3.84
	1.86	3.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)	3.7 ↑ (2.8)	3.31 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
42.3%

Draw
27.2%

Freiburg
30.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.4%

31.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

33.4%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Union Berlin - Freiburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bosl C. (G) 21. Weiss A. 5. Orschmann K. 19. Steuerwald S. 2. Schneider T. 11. Orschmann D. 7. Heiseler L. (C) 31. Pawollek T. 10. Campbell E. 42. Reissner N. 9. Weidauer S.	1. Benkarth L. (G) 16. Stegemann G. 19. Szenk N. 5. Stierli J. 2. Karl L. (C) 7. Blumenberg T. 15. Schneider M. 4. Felde M. 27. Nachtigall S. 23. Birkholz L. E. 22. Kolb L.
Substitutes
30. Bohi N. (G) 6. Frank C. 29. Halverkamps A. 25. Heikkinen I. 27. Hipp J. 8. Janez K. 77. Moraitou A.	33. Adamczyk R. (G) 8. Bienz A. 20. Egli L. 6. Ojukwu N. 11. Scherer N. 10. Vobian S.
Coaches
Poese A.	Kapllani E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Schneider M. ⚽, Karl L. (A),
24', Reissner N. ↓, Halverkamps A. ↑,
42', 0 - 2, Birkholz L. E. ⚽, Schneider M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Blumenberg T. ↓, Vobian S. ↑,
63', Kolb L. ↓, Bienz A. ↑,
63', Nachtigall S. ↓, Ojukwu N. ↑,
63', Heiseler L. ↓, Hipp J. ↑,
77', Birkholz L. E. ↓, Egli L. ↑,
83', Orschmann D. ↓, Heikkinen I. ↑,
88', Schneider M. ↓, Scherer N. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Bienz A. ⚽, Egli L. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).

In recent matches, Union Berlin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Freiburg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Union Berlin could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin Women
German Bundesliga Women
23.09.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Union Berlin	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Union Berlin - SGS Essen	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Union Berlin	3:2 ✺
07.09.25	Union Berlin - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly Women
17.08.25	Union Berlin - Real Madrid	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWLTL
- SC Freiburg Women
German Bundesliga Women
23.09.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
19.09.25	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	6:2 ✺
12.09.25	Freiburg - Köln	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly Women
16.08.25	Freiburg - St Gallen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWTW

Union Berlin - Freiburg