Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group A

Date: 31 May 2024, Friday

Location: Klaukkalan urheilualue (Nurmijärvi)


	NJS		Futura Porvoo

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	8.5
	1.21	6.5	10
	1.27	6.3	8.1
	1.28	5.54	7.87
	1.17	6	9
	1.23	6.4	9.15
	1.24	6	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	6.11 ↑ (4.5)	8.69 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NJS
74.4%

Draw
15%

Futura Porvoo
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.1%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NJS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NJS's performance.

Futura Porvoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Futura Porvoo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NJS than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NJS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Futura Porvoo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

NJS - Futura Porvoo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Knuuttila O. (G) 16. Bade M. 75. Gronthal T. 26. Kallio A. 19. Kangasniemi V. 28. Ketonen V. 27. Lahikainen K. 11. Lika Y. 8. Lundgren K. 4. Pursiainen O. 18. Salminen V.	1. Kazakov O. (G) 9. Alanko S. 20. Bazhan O. 22. Henrichson O. 4. Kaukomaa J. 13. Kouri L. 31. Lofman A. 19. Moyseev A. 27. Sinitsyn N. 8. Stenstrand S. 5. Sundstrom J.
Substitutes
29. Dumani P. 43. Keto-oja S. (G) 17. Lehtojuuri A. 55. Maki-Uuro T. 7. Ozel M. 35. Pastinen L. 20. Timsina B.	10. Britschgi A. 6. Habiyakare M. 17. Hollmen J. 24. Hyypia C. 12. Lonnstrom M. (G) 14. Mickos E. 33. Rouvila V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Kouri L. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Lofman A. ⚽,
60', Lika Y. ↓, Pastinen L. ↑,
60', Lundgren K. ↓, Lehtojuuri A. ↑,
61', Kouri L. ↓, Habiyakare M. ↑,
67', Gronthal T. ↓, Ozel M. ↑,
73', Moyseev A. ↓, Britschgi A. ↑,
82', Sundstrom J. ↓, Hollmen J. ↑,
82', Henrichson O. ↓, Hyypia C. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: ) and 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: )).

Recent matches NJS is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Futura is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match NJS is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches NJS won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams NJS won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nurmijärven Jalkapalloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
24.05.24	Kiffen 08 - NJS	1:2 ✺
17.05.24	NJS - JaPS 2	2:2 ✺
12.05.24	Grankulla IFK - NJS	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
08.05.24	NJS - Espoon Palloseura	0:3 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
04.05.24	NJS - MYPA	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTTLW
- FC Futura Porvoo
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
25.05.24	Futura Porvoo - Lahden Reipas	1:6 ✺
17.05.24	PPJ - Futura Porvoo	2:1 ✺
12.05.24	Kiffen 08 - Futura Porvoo	6:1 ✺
04.05.24	Futura Porvoo - Grankulla IFK	0:1 ✺
26.04.24	Atlantis 2 - Futura Porvoo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
16.09.23	NJS - Futura Porvoo	1:0
09.07.23	Futura Porvoo - NJS	1:4
Finnish Cup
28.04.23	Futura Porvoo - NJS	3:2
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
24.09.22	NJS - Futura Porvoo	3:3
02.07.22	Futura Porvoo - NJS	0:3

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