Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group A

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Porvoon keskuskenttä (Porvoo)


	Futura Porvoo		Lahden Reipas

	1	X	2
	10	7.5	1.16
	13	7.05	1.16
	12.17	7.1	1.15
	12.17	7.05	1.15
	13.9	7.7	1.14
	11	7.2	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.04 ↑ (5.7)	7.27 ↑ (5)	1.15 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Futura Porvoo
7.6%

Draw
12.7%

Lahden Reipas
79.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

18.1%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

15.6%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Futura Porvoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Futura Porvoo's form might have worsened.

Lahden Reipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lahden Reipas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Futura Porvoo than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Futura Porvoo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lahden Reipas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Futura Porvoo - Lahden Reipas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kazakov O. (G) 9. Alanko S. 6. Habiyakare M. 22. Henrichson O. 30. Jammeh L. 4. Kaukomaa J. 31. Lofman A. 16. Miftari E. 19. Moyseev A. (C) 27. Sinitsyn N. 5. Sundstrom J.	1. Inkeroinen L. (G) 25. Belabid A. 20. Hertsi L. 28. Huovila V. 16. Jarvenpaa L. 15. Klinga M. 7. Kose B. 10. Kose O. (C) 22. Nieminen E. 21. Niskanen R. 23. Oksanen N.
Substitutes
17. Hollmen J. 12. Lonnstrom M. (G) 14. Mickos E. 33. Rouvila V. 8. Stenstrand S.	24. Ala-Kauhaluoma L. 17. Kettunen T. 18. Kurki V. 6. Lubanzila S. 5. Ndabawedje C. 13. Ratto V. (G) 11. Traore B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Kose B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
46', Jammeh L. ↓, Stenstrand S. ↑,
49', Sinitsyn N. 🟨,
53', 0 - 2, Kose B. ⚽,
54', 0 - 3, Huovila V. ⚽,
57', 1 - 3, Stenstrand S. ⚽,
61', Nieminen E. ↓, Ala-Kauhaluoma L. ↑,
64', Huovila V. 🟨,
74', 1 - 4, Kose B. ⚽,
78', Moyseev A. ↓, Hollmen J. ↑,
78', Henrichson O. ↓, Mickos E. ↑,
80', Belabid A. ↓, Jarvenpaa L. ↑,
81', 1 - 5, Ala-Kauhaluoma L. ⚽,
83', Sundstrom J. ↓, Rouvila V. ↑,
84', 1 - 6, Ala-Kauhaluoma L. ⚽,
87', Kose B. ↓, Ndabawedje C. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Futura Porvoo
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
17.05.24	PPJ - Futura Porvoo	2:1 ✺
12.05.24	Kiffen 08 - Futura Porvoo	6:1 ✺
04.05.24	Futura Porvoo - Grankulla IFK	0:1 ✺
26.04.24	Atlantis 2 - Futura Porvoo	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Futura Porvoo - PEPO Lappeenranta	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLLWL
- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
18.05.24	Lahden Reipas - Grankulla IFK	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	PEPO Lappeenranta - Lahden Reipas	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
08.05.24	Lahden Reipas - Haka	1:5 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
26.04.24	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	NJS - Lahden Reipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
01.10.23	Lahden Reipas - Futura Porvoo	4:0
15.07.23	Futura Porvoo - Lahden Reipas	0:3
10.09.22	Lahden Reipas - Futura Porvoo	1:0
23.06.22	Futura Porvoo - Lahden Reipas	0:4

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