Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Við Djúpumýrar (Klaksvík) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Koppel K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	18:45	Onefootball


	NSÍ Runavík		HJK

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.8	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.85
	3.36	3.9	1.94
				Watch
	3.5	3.9	1.83
	3.4	4.3	1.87	Watch
	3.75	3.85	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	3.84 ↑ (3.5)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NSÍ Runavík
26.1%

Draw
24.1%

HJK
49.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

25.7%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

25.2%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NSÍ Runavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NSÍ Runavík than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.8%	88.2%

NSÍ Runavík - HJK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Runavík (3.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Runavík (2.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - HJK (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: HJK will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): HJK will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Runavík (votes: 2 - 11.1%). HJK (votes: 16 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joensen K. (G) 17. Benjaminsen J. 4. Obbekjaer D. 3. Markmanrud L. 13. Ness F. O. 33. Przybylski M. 8. Hendriksson B. 29. Joensen E. W. 11. van Der Heyden J. 10. Olsen K. (C) 27. Knudsen A.	25. Nijhuis T. (G) 28. Ylitolva M. 3. Antzoulas G. 6. Tikkanen V. 13. Simojoki K. 99. Michel B. 8. Kanellopoulos G. 4. Ring A. (C) 15. Kallinen J. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 20. Pukki T.
Substitutes
28. Danielsen M. 5. Diaby H. 30. Hansen S. (G) 15. Hentze P. 19. Knudsen T. 23. Olsen B. 2. Osen H. 25. Thomsen J. (G)	24. Boamah M. 16. Henriksson E. (G) 10. Lingman L. 2. Lyons-Foster B. 21. Mentu P. 42. Meriluoto K. 1. Ost J. (G)
Coaches
Wedeborg J.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Joensen E. W. ⚽,
19', Ness F. O. 🟨,
23', Kallinen J. 🟥,
35', 2 - 0, Ness F. O. ⚽, Hendriksson B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Simojoki K. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
68', Pukki T. ↓, Lingman L. ↑,
69', Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Obbekjaer D. ⚽, Benjaminsen J. (A),
78', Obbekjaer D. 🟨,
83', 4 - 0, Olsen K. ⚽, Benjaminsen J. (A),

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Við Djúpumýrar.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

HJK might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NSÍ Runavík
Faroe Islands Premier League
05.07.25	Tvøroyrar Bóltfelag - NSÍ Runavík	2:6 ✺
29.06.25	NSÍ Runavík - EB Streymur	4:0 ✺
22.06.25	NSÍ Runavík - Víkingur Gøta	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	B36 Torshavn - NSÍ Runavík	2:2 ✺
31.05.25	KÍ Klaksvík - NSÍ Runavík	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWTTL
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.07.25	VPS Vaasa - HJK	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	HJK - FF Jaro	2:3 ✺
27.06.25	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	3:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
24.06.25	Klubi 04 - HJK	0:4 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.06.25	HJK - Haka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW

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