Match Info

Veikkausliiga

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	HJK		Haka

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	6	Watch
	1.44	4.6	6
				Watch
	1.49	4.87	6.19
				Watch
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.44	4.68	6.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	4.68 ↓ (4.9)	6.08 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
64.6%

Draw
20%

Haka
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

19.3%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

18.4%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	0%	4.8%

HJK - Haka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: HJK will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): HJK will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Nijhuis T. (G) 24. Boamah M. 13. Simojoki K. 3. Antzoulas G. 2. Lyons-Foster B. 22. Moller L. 21. Mentu P. 10. Lingman L. 4. Ring A. (C) 20. Pukki T. 7. Hostikka S.	1. Hughes L. (G) 4. Houston J. 5. Gianini Dantas N. 3. Friberg N. (C) 18. Mommo E. 7. Da Sylva J. 8. Lindholm S. 19. Okyere A. 99. Sejdiu A. 16. Bulgakov D. 9. Akintunde J.
Substitutes
95. Baranov S. 19. Ezeh D. 49. Hannula O. 98. Lietsa J. 97. Mero T. 99. Michel B. 30. Ramula A. (G) 14. Ritari M. 18. Soiniemi A.	21. Jalasvaara A. 12. Lepola A. (G) 10. Lucas Cini 17. Multanen K. 64. Parfitt-Williams D. 30. Purosalo V. 13. Sallinen O. 2. Talo N.
Coaches
Nuutinen M.	Smith A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Ring A. ⚽, Pukki T. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Pukki T. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Da Sylva J. ⚽, Akintunde J. (A),
35', Moller L. ↓, Michel B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 1, Michel B. ⚽, Ring A. (A),
59', Bulgakov D. ↓, Lucas Cini ↑,
65', Lindholm S. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
65', Akintunde J. ↓, Multanen K. ↑,
66', Sejdiu A. ↓, Parfitt-Williams D. ↑,
78', Okyere A. 🟨,
81', Hostikka S. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
81', Pukki T. ↓, Ezeh D. ↑,
85', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Lietsa J. ↑,
86', Mommo E. ↓, Purosalo V. ↑,
89', Lingman L. 🟨,
90+2', Mentu P. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 2.

HJK has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Haka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, HJK is the clear favorite.

There will not play in HJK: Kanellopoulos G. (Yellow Cards) Ylitolva M. (International duty)

There will not play in Haka: Romero E. (Inactive) Selander R. (Inactive)

We predict that HJK will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 47:13. (average 2.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:4. (average 2.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.06.25	Oulu - HJK	0:4 ✺
Finnish Cup
11.06.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - HJK	0:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.05.25	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	HJK - JäPS	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.05.25	IFK Mariehamn - HJK	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW
- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.06.25	Inter Turku - Haka	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
11.06.25	Haka - Gnistan	3:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.05.25	Haka - VPS Vaasa	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	Haka - Union Plaani	6:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.05.25	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
08.02.25	HJK - Haka	3:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
06.10.24	HJK - Haka	0:1
20.07.24	HJK - Haka	2:0
27.04.24	Haka - HJK	1:1
27.06.23	Haka - HJK	1:1
29.04.23	HJK - Haka	2:0
Club Friendly
21.01.23	HJK - Haka	4:0

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