Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 24

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	KuPS Kuopio		HJK

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.40	2.95
	2.22	3.3	3.05	Watch
	2.34	3.51	3.18
	2.23	3.53	3.11	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.05
	2.27	3.34	3.05	Watch
	2.15	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.27)	3.42 ↓ (3.43)	3.04 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
41.8%

Draw
27.4%

HJK
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

25.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

KuPS Kuopio - HJK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 29. Puukko A. 28. Magassa B. 23. Lotjonen A. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 16. Jyry T. 34. Eskesen J. 15. Aiki A. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.	1. Ost J. (G) 13. Simojoki K. 6. Tikkanen V. (C) 3. Cissokho T. 14. Montano L. 8. Mentu P. 11. Kirilov M. 4. Ring A. 22. Moller L. 7. Cicale A. 9. Borchers M.
Substitutes
4. Adams K. 33. Hamalainen T. 19. Kabuye C. 13. Kujasalo N. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 14. Pasanen S. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 22. Touray S.	17. Alho N. 31. Bogicevic M. 32. Gueye M. 29. Haarala S. 15. Kallinen J. 26. Lappalainen L. 10. Lingman L. 20. Pukki T. 30. Samooja J. (G)
Coaches
Nuutinen M.	Rantanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Puukko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Puukko A. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
63', Borchers M. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
71', Aiki A. ↓, Kabuye C. ↑,
72', Moller L. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
84', Jyry T. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
84', Mentu P. ↓, Lingman L. ↑,
84', Eskesen J. ↓, Pasanen S. ↑,
84', Ring A. ↓, Kallinen J. ↑,
90', Kirilov M. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

KuPS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in KuPS: Voutilainen J. (Surgery)

There will not play in HJK: Ezeh D. (Broken hipbone) Nallo A. (Inactive) Ring A. (Inactive) Toivonen E. (Injury) Veteli J. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.8:0.6).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 39.56% HJK: 12.72%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48
3	HJK	26	13	6	7	45:29	16	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.09.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - IFK Mariehamn	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLT
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.09.26	HJK - Inter Turku	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
05.09.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	Ilves - HJK	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	HJK - Gnistan	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	HJK - FF Jaro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.26	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:4
26.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	1:1
09.11.25	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:2
19.10.25	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	3:1
Finnish Cup
20.09.25	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.25	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	3:0
31.05.25	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:0

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