The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 36.2%
Draw 29.2%
NTV Beleza 34.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.7%
31%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
30.1%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
NTV Beleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanfrecce Hiroshima that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NTV Beleza than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - NTV Beleza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Kobayashi R. ⚽, Matsunaga M. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Takizawa C. ⚽, Nakashima Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 2 - 1, Takizawa C. ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, Hiwatari M. ⚽, Shinjo M. (A),
89', 2 - 3, Aoki Y. ⚽, Doko M. (A),
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:33 (averaging 0.8:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sanfrecce Hiroshima against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 6:16 goals (averaging 0.9:2.3 per game).